Stanley Cup Final:
Ducks-Senators Preview

Sunday, May 27, 2007

Here's a preview of the 2007 Stanley Cup Final between the Anaheim Ducks and Ottawa Senators, which gets underway Monday night in Anaheim.

Overview
The only thing that has been able to slow down the Senators since late December has been the long layoff since they eliminated Buffalo in the Eastern Conference Final back on May 19. After a sluggish start to the season, the Senators finished the regular season with a 31-7-8 record over their final 46 regular season games and are 12-3 in the playoffs for a combined record of 43-10-8 over a 61-game stretch. They've been impressive in beating each Pittsburgh, New Jersey and Buffalo in five-game series to advance to the Stanley Cup Final.

The Ducks were billed as Stanley Cup contenders from the start of the season and have lived up to the hype. They started strong, got derailed by some key injuries at the midway part of the season but were able to get it together by the playoffs, where they have put together a 12-4 record. The Ducks were clearly the better team in first and second round series wins against Minnesota and Vancouver. They struggled at times against Detroit, but found a way to win Games 3 and 4 despite getting outplayed and beat the Red Wings in six games. 

Forwards

Anaheim

Ottawa
Miller  McDonald  Selanne
Penner  Getzlaf  Perry
Moen  Pahlsson  Niedermayer
May  Marchant  Thornton
Heatley  Spezza  Alfredsson
Schaefer  Fisher  Comrie
Vermette  Kelly  Neil
Eaves  McAmmond  Schubert
Saprykin  McGrattan  

Ottawa's top line of Daniel Alfredsson, Jason Spezza and Dany Heatley has been spectacular in the playoffs. Those three have combined for 23 goals and 35 assists in 15 playoff games so far, making them easily the most productive line in the postseason. The Senators probably have a deeper group of forwards, but they aren't getting a lot of scoring depth so far in the playoffs.

The Ducks, even with Chris Kunitz out with a broken hand, seem to be getting more production throughout the forward lines. Anaheim's kid line of Dustin Penner, Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry has been very effective and has helped cover the lack of production from Anaheim's top line. Teemu Selanne did start to heat up at the end of the Detroit series and that's a big boost for the Ducks.  And checkers like Travis Moen, Rob Niedermayer and Samuel Pahlsson have been chipping in with some key offense as well. 

Advantage: Ducks. They may not have the overall depth, but they have more players contributing offensively.

Defense

Anaheim

Ottawa
O'Donnell  Pronger
Beauchemin  Niedermayer
Huskins  Jackman
DiPenta  
Redden  Meszaros
Phillips  Volchenkov
Corvo  Preissing
Nycholat  

The depth advantage goes to Ottawa. The Senators have six defensemen they use throughout the game. Chris Phillips, Anton Volchenkov, Wade Redden and Andrej Meszaros all log between 20 to 23 minutes a game, while Joe Corvo and Tom Preissing pickup considerable time as well. Phillips and Volchenkov have established themselves as the Senators shutdown pair, but Redden and Meszaros are basically the top duo.

The Ducks go with basically four defensemen and mix in the fifth and sixth every now and then. Chris Pronger, Scott Niedermayer and Francois Beauchemin all have averaged about 30 minutes per game in the playoffs and Sean O'Donnell has logged 20 minutes a game. Pronger has been outstanding for the Ducks and actually leads the team in points with 14 (three goals, 11 assists). Niedermayer has had some ups and downs, but has come up big at big times.

Advantage: Even. Overall depth goes to the Senators, but the Ducks neutralize that with Pronger, Niedermayer and, to a degree, Beauchemin.

Goaltending

Anaheim

Ottawa
Giguere
Bryzgalov
Emery
Gerber

After missing the first four games of the playoffs due to some health issues surrounding his newborn son, Jean-Sebastien Giguere has been outstanding in goal for the Ducks. He's 9-3 with a 1.87 goals against average and a .931 save percentage. His performance in Games 4 and 5 of the Detroit series were key as the Ducks were outplayed but still came out on top to take a 3-2 lead in the series. As technically sound a goalie as there is in the league.

Ray Emery, who took over as Ottawa's No. 1 goalie back in November, got off to a slow start in the playoffs but he's been very good. He has a 12-3 record with a 1.95 goals against average a .919 save percentage. He has three shutouts in his last 13 playoff games. The Senators defense has helped, but Emery has developed into a solid goaltender.

Advantage: Ducks. Giguere's got the experience, the better numbers and he's the better goalie.

Special Teams
The Senators power play has been hitting at 20 percent overall in the playoffs and 31 percent on the road. That could be key against the Ducks, who have a penchant for taking a lot of penalties and the fact that the Ducks have allowed 9 power play goals over their last six playoff games.

Anaheim's power play has been erratic at times in the playoffs, hitting on 15 percent of its chances. It heated up at the end of the Detroit series after failing to cash in over a five-game stretch dating back to the Vancouver series.

Advantage: Ottawa. A struggling penalty kill and the inability to stay out of the penalty box could be an issue for Anaheim

Coaching
Ottawa's Bryan Murray is making his first trip to the Stanley Cup Final as a head coach. He got the Senators to buy into being a team that relied more on hard work and defense this season and it has paid off big time in the playoffs. No team has played better in the postseason.

Anaheim's Randy Carlyle has done a great job in two years with Anaheim. His teams have won five playoff rounds while compiling a 21-11 record in playoff games. His emphasis work ethic and his no nonsense, direct approach seems to have rubbed off on his team. When the Ducks play that way they are at their best.

Advantage: Even. Both teams are extremely well coached.

Intangibles
The Senators come in as the hotter team with the hottest line in the playoffs. How much will the long layoff affect them? Probably not a lot, especially when you consider the Ducks have had a layoff of their own to deal with. The experience factor probably goes to the Ducks. Defenseman Scott Niedermayer has won three Stanley Cups, goalie Jean-Sebastien Giguere has a Conn Smythe and a few of the Ducks have been to the Final before. Anaheim will miss Chris Kunitz, whose absence due to a broken hand has disrupted Anaheim's top line.

Advantage: Even

Outlook
The Senators are on a roll and have probably played the best of any team in the playoffs. Ottawa has displayed few weaknesses in mowing down the Penguins, Devils and Sabres.

The Ducks will provide a much stiffer and far more physical challenge. Anaheim can also score and play a sound defensive game in front of Jean-Sebastien Giguere, one of the game's elite goalies.

Players like Giguere, Chris Pronger, Scott Niedermayer, Teemu Selanne, Daniel Alfredsson, Dany Heatley and Jason Spezza are the potential big name difference makers in the series, but it may be the secondary players who turn the tide one way or the other.

Will it be someone from the Ducks' Kids Line or Mike Fisher, Mike Comrie or Peter Schaefer for the Senators? Will it be Rob Niedermayer, Travis Moen or Samuel Pahlsson for Anaheim or Antoine Vermette, Chris Kelly or Chris Neil for Ottawa? Brad May for the Ducks or Dean McAmmond for the Sens.

Based on the playoffs so far, the Ducks secondary players have been providing more and giving their team a much more balanced attack.

Prediction: Ducks in 7
Conn Smythe: Jean-Sebastien Giguere, Anaheim

How they were built

Here's a look at how the Anaheim Ducks and Ottawa Senators were built.

Anaheim Ducks

Pos Player Age When/How Acquired General Manager
G Ilya Bryzgalov 26 2000 draft (44th overall) Pierre Gauthier
G J-S Giguere 30 2000 trade with Calgary Pierre Gauthier
D F. Beauchemin 26 2006 trade with  Columbus Brian Burke
D Joe DiPenta 28 2005 free-agent signing Brian Burke
D Kent Huskins 28 2005 free-agent signing Brian Burke
D Ric Jackman 28 2007 trade with  Florida Brian Burke
D Scott Niedermayer 33 2005 free-agent signing Brian Burke
D Sean O'Donnell 35 2006 trade with  Phoenix Brian Burke
D Chris Pronger 32 2006 trade with  Edmonton Brian Burke
D Aaron Rome 23 2004 free-agent signing Bryan Murray
F Ryan Carter 23 2006 free-agent signing Brian Burke
F Ryan Getzlaf 22 2003 draft (19th overall) Bryan Murray
F Mark Hartigan 29 2007 trade with  Columbus Brian Burke
F Chris Kunitz 27 2003 free-agent signing Bryan Murray
F Todd Marchant 33 2005 waiver claim Brian Burke
F Brad May 35 2007 trade with  Colorado Brian Burke
F Andy McDonald 29 2000 free-agent signing Pierre Gauthier
F Drew Miller 23 2003 draft (186th overall) Bryan Murray
F Travis Moen 25 2005 trade with  Chicago Brian Burke
F Joe Motzko 23 2003 free-agent signing Bryan Murray
F Rob Niedermayer 32 2003 trade with  Calgary Bryan Murray
F Sami Pahlsson 29 2000 trade with  Boston Pierre Gauthier
F George Parros 27 2006 trade with  Colorado Brian Burke
F Dustin Penner 24 2004 free-agent signing Bryan Murray
F Corey Perry 22 2003 draft (28th overall) Bryan Murray
F Teemu Selanne 36 2005 free-agent signing Brian Burke
F Ryan Shannon 24 2006 free-agent signing Brian Burke
F Shawn Thornton 29 2006 free-agent signing Brian Burke
Source: Globe and Mail

Ottawa Senators

Pos Player Age When/How acquired General Manager
G Ray Emery 24 2001 draft (99th overall) Marshall Johnston  
G Martin Gerber 32 2006 free-agent signing John Muckler  
D Joe Corvo 29 2006 free-agent signing John Muckler  
D Andrej Meszaros 21 2004 draft (23rd overall) John Muckler  
D Lawrence Nycholat 28 2007 trade with Washington John Muckler  
D Chris Phillips 29 1996 draft (1st overall) Pierre Gauthier  
D Tom Preissing 28 2006 trade with San Jose John Muckler  
D Wade Redden 29 1996 trade with Islanders Pierre Gauthier  
D Christoph Shubert 27 2001 draft (127th overall) Marshall Johnston  
D Anton Volchenkov 25 2000 draft (21st overall) Marshall Johnston  
F Daniel Alfredsson 34 1994 draft (133rd overall) Randy Sexton
F Mike Comrie 26 2007 trade with Phoenix John Muckler  
F Patrick Eaves 23 2003 draft (29th overall) John Muckler  
F Mike Fisher 26 1998 draft (44th overall) Pierre Gauthier  
F Dany Heatley 26 2005 trade with Atlanta John Muckler  
F Chris Kelly 26 1999 draft (94th overall) Marshall Johnston  
F Dean McAmmond 33 2006 free-agent signing John Muckler  
F Brian McGrattan 25 2002 free-agent signing John Muckler  
F Chris Neil 27 1998 draft (161st overall) Rick Dudley
F Oleg Saprykin 26 2007 trade with Phoenix John Muckler  
F Peter Schaefer 29 2002 trade with Vancouver John Muckler  
F Jason Spezza 23 2001 draft (2nd overall) Marshall Johnston  
F Antoine Vermette 24 2000 draft (55th overall) Marshall Johnston  
Source: Globe and Mail

 



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