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Stanley Cup Final:
Ducks-Senators Preview
Sunday, May 27, 2007
Here's a preview of the 2007 Stanley Cup Final
between the Anaheim Ducks and Ottawa Senators, which gets
underway Monday night in Anaheim.
| Overview |
| The only thing that has been able to slow down the
Senators since late December has been the long layoff
since they eliminated Buffalo in the Eastern Conference
Final back on May 19. After a sluggish start to the
season, the Senators finished the regular season with a
31-7-8 record over their final 46 regular season games
and are 12-3 in the playoffs for a combined record of
43-10-8 over a 61-game stretch. They've been impressive
in beating each Pittsburgh, New Jersey and Buffalo in
five-game series to advance to the Stanley Cup Final.
The Ducks were billed as Stanley Cup contenders from
the start of the season and have lived up to the hype.
They started strong, got derailed by some key injuries
at the midway part of the season but were able to get it
together by the playoffs, where they have put together a
12-4 record. The Ducks were clearly the better team in
first and second round series wins against Minnesota and
Vancouver. They struggled at times against Detroit, but
found a way to win Games 3 and 4 despite getting
outplayed and beat the Red Wings in six games.
|
| Forwards |
|
Anaheim |
Ottawa |
|
Miller
|
McDonald
|
Selanne |
|
Penner
|
Getzlaf
|
Perry |
|
Moen
|
Pahlsson
|
Niedermayer |
|
May
|
Marchant
|
Thornton |
|
|
Heatley
|
Spezza
|
Alfredsson |
|
Schaefer
|
Fisher
|
Comrie |
|
Vermette
|
Kelly
|
Neil |
|
Eaves
|
McAmmond
|
Schubert |
|
Saprykin
|
McGrattan |
|
|
Ottawa's top line of Daniel Alfredsson, Jason Spezza
and Dany Heatley has been spectacular in the playoffs.
Those three have combined for 23 goals and 35 assists in
15 playoff games so far, making them easily the most
productive line in the postseason. The Senators probably
have a deeper group of forwards, but they aren't getting
a lot of scoring depth so far in the playoffs.
The Ducks, even with Chris Kunitz out with a broken
hand, seem to be getting more production throughout the
forward lines. Anaheim's kid line of Dustin Penner, Ryan
Getzlaf and Corey Perry has been very effective and has
helped cover the lack of production from Anaheim's top
line. Teemu Selanne did start to heat up at the end of
the Detroit series and that's a big boost for the Ducks.
And checkers like Travis Moen, Rob Niedermayer and
Samuel Pahlsson have been chipping in with some key
offense as well.
Advantage: Ducks. They may not have the overall
depth, but they have more players contributing
offensively. |
| Defense |
|
Anaheim |
Ottawa |
|
O'Donnell
|
Pronger |
|
Beauchemin
|
Niedermayer |
|
Huskins
|
Jackman |
|
DiPenta
|
|
|
|
Redden
|
Meszaros |
|
Phillips
|
Volchenkov |
|
Corvo
|
Preissing |
|
Nycholat
|
|
|
The depth advantage goes to Ottawa. The Senators
have six defensemen they use throughout the game. Chris
Phillips, Anton Volchenkov, Wade Redden and Andrej
Meszaros all log between 20 to 23 minutes a game, while
Joe Corvo and Tom Preissing pickup considerable time as
well. Phillips and Volchenkov have established
themselves as the Senators shutdown pair, but Redden and
Meszaros are basically the top duo.
The Ducks go with basically four defensemen and mix
in the fifth and sixth every now and then. Chris
Pronger, Scott Niedermayer and Francois Beauchemin all
have averaged about 30 minutes per game in the playoffs
and Sean O'Donnell has logged 20 minutes a game. Pronger
has been outstanding for the Ducks and actually leads
the team in points with 14 (three goals, 11 assists).
Niedermayer has had some ups and downs, but has come up
big at big times.
Advantage: Even. Overall depth goes to the
Senators, but the Ducks neutralize that with Pronger,
Niedermayer and, to a degree, Beauchemin. |
|
Goaltending |
|
After missing the first four games of the playoffs
due to some health issues surrounding his newborn son,
Jean-Sebastien Giguere has been outstanding in goal for
the Ducks. He's 9-3 with a 1.87 goals against average
and a .931 save percentage. His performance in Games 4
and 5 of the Detroit series were key as the Ducks were
outplayed but still came out on top to take a 3-2 lead
in the series. As technically sound a goalie as there is
in the league.
Ray Emery, who took over as Ottawa's No. 1 goalie
back in November, got off to a slow start in the
playoffs but he's been very good. He has a 12-3 record
with a 1.95 goals against average a .919 save
percentage. He has three shutouts in his last 13 playoff
games. The Senators defense has helped, but Emery has
developed into a solid goaltender.
Advantage: Ducks. Giguere's got the experience,
the better numbers and he's the better goalie. |
| Special
Teams |
| The Senators power play has been hitting at 20
percent overall in the playoffs and 31 percent on the
road. That could be key against the Ducks, who have a
penchant for taking a lot of penalties and the fact that
the Ducks have allowed 9 power play goals over their
last six playoff games.
Anaheim's power play has been erratic at times in the
playoffs, hitting on 15 percent of its chances. It
heated up at the end of the Detroit series after failing
to cash in over a five-game stretch dating back to the
Vancouver series.
Advantage: Ottawa. A struggling penalty kill and
the inability to stay out of the penalty box could be an
issue for Anaheim |
| Coaching |
| Ottawa's Bryan Murray is making his first trip to
the Stanley Cup Final as a head coach. He got the
Senators to buy into being a team that relied more on
hard work and defense this season and it has paid off
big time in the playoffs. No team has played better in
the postseason.
Anaheim's Randy Carlyle has done a great job in two
years with Anaheim. His teams have won five playoff
rounds while compiling a 21-11 record in playoff games.
His emphasis work ethic and his no nonsense, direct
approach seems to have rubbed off on his team. When the
Ducks play that way they are at their best.
Advantage: Even. Both teams are extremely well
coached. |
|
Intangibles |
| The Senators come in as the hotter team with the
hottest line in the playoffs. How much will the long
layoff affect them? Probably not a lot, especially when
you consider the Ducks have had a layoff of their own to
deal with. The experience factor probably goes to the
Ducks. Defenseman Scott Niedermayer has won three
Stanley Cups, goalie Jean-Sebastien Giguere has a Conn
Smythe and a few of the Ducks have been to the Final
before. Anaheim will miss Chris Kunitz, whose absence
due to a broken hand has disrupted Anaheim's top line.
Advantage: Even |
| Outlook |
| The Senators are on a roll and have probably played
the best of any team in the playoffs. Ottawa has
displayed few weaknesses in mowing down the Penguins,
Devils and Sabres.
The Ducks will provide a much stiffer and far more
physical challenge. Anaheim can also score and play a
sound defensive game in front of Jean-Sebastien Giguere,
one of the game's elite goalies.
Players like Giguere, Chris Pronger, Scott
Niedermayer, Teemu Selanne, Daniel Alfredsson, Dany
Heatley and Jason Spezza are the potential big name
difference makers in the series, but it may be the
secondary players who turn the tide one way or the
other.
Will it be someone from the Ducks' Kids Line or Mike
Fisher, Mike Comrie or Peter Schaefer for the Senators?
Will it be Rob Niedermayer, Travis Moen or Samuel
Pahlsson for Anaheim or Antoine Vermette, Chris Kelly or
Chris Neil for Ottawa? Brad May for the Ducks or Dean
McAmmond for the Sens.
Based on the playoffs so far, the Ducks secondary
players have been providing more and giving their team a
much more balanced attack.
Prediction: Ducks in 7
Conn Smythe: Jean-Sebastien Giguere, Anaheim |
How they were built
Here's a look at how the Anaheim Ducks and
Ottawa Senators were built.
Anaheim Ducks
|
Pos |
Player |
Age |
When/How
Acquired |
General
Manager |
| G |
Ilya Bryzgalov |
26 |
2000 draft (44th
overall) |
Pierre Gauthier |
| G |
J-S Giguere |
30 |
2000 trade with Calgary |
Pierre Gauthier |
| D |
F. Beauchemin |
26 |
2006 trade with
Columbus |
Brian Burke |
| D |
Joe DiPenta |
28 |
2005 free-agent signing |
Brian Burke |
| D |
Kent Huskins |
28 |
2005 free-agent
signing |
Brian Burke |
| D |
Ric Jackman |
28 |
2007 trade with Florida |
Brian Burke |
| D |
Scott Niedermayer |
33 |
2005 free-agent
signing |
Brian Burke |
| D |
Sean O'Donnell |
35 |
2006 trade with Phoenix |
Brian Burke |
| D |
Chris Pronger |
32 |
2006 trade with
Edmonton |
Brian Burke |
| D |
Aaron Rome |
23 |
2004 free-agent signing |
Bryan Murray |
| F |
Ryan Carter |
23 |
2006 free-agent
signing |
Brian Burke |
| F |
Ryan Getzlaf |
22 |
2003 draft (19th overall) |
Bryan Murray |
| F |
Mark Hartigan |
29 |
2007 trade with
Columbus |
Brian Burke |
| F |
Chris Kunitz |
27 |
2003 free-agent signing |
Bryan Murray |
| F |
Todd Marchant |
33 |
2005 waiver claim |
Brian Burke |
| F |
Brad May |
35 |
2007 trade with Colorado |
Brian Burke |
| F |
Andy McDonald |
29 |
2000 free-agent
signing |
Pierre Gauthier |
| F |
Drew Miller |
23 |
2003 draft (186th overall) |
Bryan Murray |
| F |
Travis Moen |
25 |
2005 trade with
Chicago |
Brian Burke |
| F |
Joe Motzko |
23 |
2003 free-agent signing |
Bryan Murray |
| F |
Rob Niedermayer |
32 |
2003 trade with
Calgary |
Bryan Murray |
| F |
Sami Pahlsson |
29 |
2000 trade with Boston |
Pierre Gauthier |
| F |
George Parros |
27 |
2006 trade with
Colorado |
Brian Burke |
| F |
Dustin Penner |
24 |
2004 free-agent signing |
Bryan Murray |
| F |
Corey Perry |
22 |
2003 draft (28th
overall) |
Bryan Murray |
| F |
Teemu Selanne |
36 |
2005 free-agent signing |
Brian Burke |
| F |
Ryan Shannon |
24 |
2006 free-agent
signing |
Brian Burke |
| F |
Shawn Thornton |
29 |
2006 free-agent signing |
Brian Burke |
| Source: Globe and
Mail |
Ottawa Senators
| Pos |
Player |
Age |
When/How acquired |
General Manager |
| G |
Ray Emery |
24 |
2001 draft (99th overall) |
Marshall Johnston
|
| G |
Martin Gerber |
32 |
2006 free-agent signing |
John Muckler
|
| D |
Joe Corvo |
29 |
2006 free-agent signing |
John Muckler
|
| D |
Andrej Meszaros |
21 |
2004 draft (23rd overall) |
John Muckler
|
| D |
Lawrence Nycholat |
28 |
2007 trade with Washington |
John Muckler
|
| D |
Chris Phillips |
29 |
1996 draft (1st overall) |
Pierre Gauthier
|
| D |
Tom Preissing |
28 |
2006 trade with San Jose |
John Muckler
|
| D |
Wade Redden |
29 |
1996 trade with Islanders |
Pierre Gauthier
|
| D |
Christoph Shubert |
27 |
2001 draft (127th overall) |
Marshall Johnston
|
| D |
Anton Volchenkov |
25 |
2000 draft (21st overall) |
Marshall Johnston
|
| F |
Daniel Alfredsson |
34 |
1994 draft (133rd overall) |
Randy Sexton |
| F |
Mike Comrie |
26 |
2007 trade with Phoenix |
John Muckler
|
| F |
Patrick Eaves |
23 |
2003 draft (29th overall) |
John Muckler
|
| F |
Mike Fisher |
26 |
1998 draft (44th overall) |
Pierre Gauthier
|
| F |
Dany Heatley |
26 |
2005 trade with Atlanta |
John Muckler
|
| F |
Chris Kelly |
26 |
1999 draft (94th overall) |
Marshall Johnston
|
| F |
Dean McAmmond |
33 |
2006 free-agent signing |
John Muckler
|
| F |
Brian McGrattan |
25 |
2002 free-agent signing |
John Muckler
|
| F |
Chris Neil |
27 |
1998 draft (161st overall) |
Rick Dudley |
| F |
Oleg Saprykin |
26 |
2007 trade with Phoenix |
John Muckler
|
| F |
Peter Schaefer |
29 |
2002 trade with Vancouver |
John Muckler
|
| F |
Jason Spezza |
23 |
2001 draft (2nd overall) |
Marshall Johnston
|
| F |
Antoine Vermette |
24 |
2000 draft (55th overall) |
Marshall Johnston
|
| Source: Globe and
Mail |
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