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Series Preview: Dallas
Stars vs. Detroit Red Wings
Wednesday, May 07, 2008
Here's a preview of the Western Conference
Finals series between the Dallas Stars and Detroit Red Wings.
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Stars-Red Wings Preview |
| Overview |
| It's been ten years since the Dallas
Stars and Detroit Red Wings last met in the playoffs.
Like this time around, that 1998 meeting was in the
Western Conference Finals. The Red Wings won that one in
six games. They had won two previous meetings with the
Stars in the playoffs (1995 & 1992), giving them a
perfect 3-0 record against the Stars franchise in
postseason play.
Since Dave Tippett took over as head
coach in 2002, the Stars haven't enjoyed much success
against the Red Wings in the regular season, posting a
4-11-5 record overall and a 2-6-2 record at Joe Louis
Arena in Detroit.
The Red Wings won three of four from
the Stars during the regular season, including both
games in Detroit.
This will be the first meeting between
the two teams in the playoffs in the Tippett era. This
is the farthest the Stars have gotten in the playoffs under Tippett
and the first time the team has been to a Conference
Finals since 2000.
The Red Wings are making their second
straight appearance in the Conference Finals, where they
lost in six games last year to Anaheim.
The Stars got here by knocking off the
defending Stanley Cup champion Anaheim Ducks in the
first round and then toppling San Jose, a Stanley Cup
favorite to many, in the second round.
The Red Wings knocked off division
rival Nashville in six games and then swept an injury
plagued Colorado Avalanche team in the second round.
Both teams come in relatively healthy,
or at least as healthy as a team can be at this point in
the season. Detroit has a full lineup except for forward
Tomas Kopecky, who is out for the season following knee
surgery.
The Stars have two question marks
going into the series. Forward Stu Barnes
(concussion-like symptoms) and defenseman Philippe
Boucher (hip) are skating and traveling with the team,
but are doubtful to open the series on Thursday.
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Goaltending |
| Detroit's Chris Osgood and Dallas'
Marty Turco rank first and second respectively in goals
against average so far in the playoffs, and both have
been rock solid.
Turco, who is playing with a great
deal of confidence and at a very high level, has
catapulted the playoff monkey off his back thanks to his
performance this season and his showing in last season's
series against Vancouver. But he still an issue with
Detroit. He is 2-10-5 lifetime against the Red Wings and
0-7-2 in Joe Louis Arena. That's one last hurdle for him
to clear, but his play right indicates he could be ready
to do it.
Osgood came in to relieve Dominik
Hasek in the first round series against Nashville and
all he has done is posted a 6-0 record. Osgood is often
underappreciated, but he's a very good goalie and has a
Stanley Cup (1998) on his resume. A lot of people
remember that Jamie Langenbrunner goal back in 1998, but
a lot of people forget he shutout the Stars in the next
game to win the series. That's resiliency. That's
Osgood. He's also 27-10-3 in his career against the
Stars. |
| Advantage:
Dallas. Osgood's a very good goalie, but Turco is at the
top of his game right now and has proved it against two
top teams. |
| Defensemen |
| The return of Sergei Zubov after a
three-month absence due a variety of injury issues has
been a big boost to a Dallas blue line that had already
been playing well thanks to Stephane Robidas, whose game
has blossomed this season, and veteran Mattias Norstrom,
who has performed superbly in the playoffs. Throw in
some solid performances from some of the Stars' young
defensemen and the help the group gets from Turco's
puckhandling ability, and it's been a very good
postseason for the Dallas blue line.
The Red Wings defense starts with
Nicklas Lidstrom, who is the best defenseman in the
league. Throw in guys like Brian Rafalski, Brad Stuart
(an excellent deadline acquisition), a physical Niklas Kronwall, Chris Chelios
and Brett Lebda, and you have the makings of a deep,
talented set of top six defensemen. Those defensemen are
also providing some offensive punch, led by Kronwall (8
assists), Lidstrom (2 goals,
5 assists) and Rafalski (1 goal, 6 assists). |
| Advantage:
Detroit. The Red Wings the edge in talent and depth. |
| Forwards |
| There is a lot of talent and depth on
both sides. The Stars have a strong presence up the
middle with Mike Ribeiro, Brad Richards and Mike Modano.
The top line of Ribeiro, Brenden Morrow and Jere
Lehtinen has been one of the best and most productive
lines in the postseason, combining for 14 goals and 19
assists. Richards' line, which has usually featured Joel
Lundqvist and Loui Eriksson, has been very effective and
has produced some key goals. Modano's line has changed a
bit due to the injury to Barnes, but it's produced as
well. And all three lines can defend as well. The Stars
have received goals from 11 different forwards.
The Red Wings are deep and talented up
front as well. They have gotten goals from ten different
forwards, and their top two lines have been very
productive. Top line forwards Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik
Zetterberg, who are both Selke Finalists due to their
defensive prowess, have combined for 26 points (12 goals, 14
assists) through the first two rounds. Crease lizard
Tomas Holmstrom is on that line as well. Second line
wing Johan Franzen leads the playoffs with 11 goals. The
Red Wings third line of Dan Cleary, Kris Draper and
Dallas Drake has popped in a few goals as well. |
| Advantage:
Even. Both teams have a lot of talent and depth. |
| Special
Teams |
| The Stars have the highest ranked
power play of the teams remaining in the playoffs and
it's not just the percentage. The Stars power play has
had the knack of scoring the big goal at the right time.
Their penalty kill has allowed just two goals over the
last seven games and is 26-28 (92.9%) during that
stretch. The Red Wings power
play was so-so in the first round series against
Nashville, going 3-22 over the six games. It caught fire
against the depleted Avalanche, hitting on 7-23 chances.
Detroit's penalty kill, on average, has been good in the
playoffs, but it struggled towards the end of the
Colorado series. It will need to clean that up against
Dallas or it could be an issue. |
| Advantage:
Dallas. The Stars' special teams have been a big
difference maker in their wins over the Ducks and
Sharks. |
| Coaching |
| After a lot of regular season
success, Stars coach Dave Tippett is finally getting
some results in the postseason. He had his team well
prepared going into the playoffs and that was key to
getting an early jump on the Ducks in the first round.
He had to make some adjustments in the second round due
a changing injury situation, but kept everything running
smoothly as the Stars toppled the Sharks in a
hard-fought series.
Detroit's Mike Babcock, whose intense
style is a contrast to Tippett's usually more laid back
approach, has an impressive track record. In his first
season as an NHL coach he led the Ducks to the 2003
Stanley Cup Finals. He's led Detroit to three-straight
50-win seasons and has them in in the Western Conference
Finals for a second straight season. He's also a
finalist for the Jack Adams Award, which goes to the
league's top coach. |
| Advantage:
Even. Babcock's got the slightly better track record,
but Tippett's just as good a coach. |
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Intangibles |
| The Stars have followed the harder
road to get this far, having beaten both the Ducks and
the Sharks, and the Red Wings will have been off a full
week when the series finally gets rolling Thursday
evening in Detroit. That may give the Stars an early
advantage in the series and a chance to get a jump on
the Red Wings. |
| Advantage:
Dallas |
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Outlook
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| The Red Wings, the best team over the
long course of the regular season, will come in as the
favorites in this one. They have home ice advantage.
They have had the number of the Stars and Marty Turco
the past several seasons. But that was the regular
season and that was a different Dallas team.
With the Wings coming off a long
layoff and not a lot of resistance from Colorado in
round two, the Stars might have an
opening to steal a game in Detroit. Can they win two to
open the series the way they did in Anaheim and San
Jose? Probably not. But one win in Detroit in those
first two games, especially the first one, would be
huge.
The Stars are playing their best
hockey right now and Turco, despite his past woes
against the Wings and in Detroit, is a goalie on a roll
and brimming with confidence.
Goaltending is always key in a series
and so are special teams. Both those appear to tilt the
Stars way right now, and if that holds up then the Stars
will be in a position to knock off another one of the
big teams in the West. |
| Prediction:
Dallas in 6 |
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